Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.35	6.9
	1.38	4.41	7.46	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.44	4.35	6.89
	1.38	4.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.27 ↓ (4.39)	7.25 ↓ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
66%

Draw
21.4%

Basconia
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

19.5%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Unión de Irun - Basconia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Unión will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Oyono I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Soroeta J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Real Unión has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Basconia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Unión is the clear favorite.

We predict that Real Unión will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Unión won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Unión de Irun - Ejea	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zaragoza B	5:1 ✺
07.12.25	Alfaro - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Basconia - Beasain	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Gernika - Basconia	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Basconia - Sestao	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Tudelano - Basconia	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Basconia - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1

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