Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Real Unión de Irun		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.8	3	2.67
	2.7	3.18	2.57
	2.6	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.22)	3 ↑ (2.88)	2.73 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
36.2%

Draw
30.4%

Intercity
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Intercity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Intercity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Unión de Irun - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Intercity have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Real Unión de Irun - Eldense	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Real Unión de Irun - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Intercity - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Real Sociedad B - Intercity	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Intercity - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Intercity - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Intercity - Barcelona	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.11.22	Intercity - Real Unión de Irun	1:2

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