Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 20 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)


	Real Unión de Irun		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	11	4.5	1.36	Watch
	8.25	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.33
	8.8	4.7	1.33
	8.36	4.73	1.32
	11	4.6	1.33	Watch
	9.7	4.9	1.31	Watch
	8.8	4.7	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.3 ↑ (4.95)	4.71 ↑ (3.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
10%

Draw
19.8%

Mallorca
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

24.2%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.6%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mallorca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mallorca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	5.9%	88.2%

Real Unión de Irun - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: Mallorca will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Real Unión is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mallorca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mallorca is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Real Unión de Irun - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Numancia - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LWWWL
- RCD Mallorca
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Mallorca - Bologna	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Mallorca - Mainz	2:2 ✺
16.11.22	Poblense - Mallorca	1:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Autol - Mallorca	0:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.11.22	Mallorca - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWW

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