Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Utebo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.95
	1.69	3.45	5.51
	2.31	3.07	3.05	Watch
	1.66	3.32	5.09
	1.68	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.31)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)	4.79 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
52.1%

Draw
28.3%

Utebo
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Unión de Irun - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Garcia U. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Tellechea I. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Garcia U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 4 - 0, Arruti M. ⚽,
56', 4 - 1, Suarez D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Real Unión is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Utebo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Unión is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eibar B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTW
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Utebo - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ejea - Utebo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Utebo - Beasain	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Utebo - Huesca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLL

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