Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.2	5.35
	1.6	3.45	5
	1.63	3.54	6.21
	1.62	3.2	5.8
	1.61	3.44	5.5
	1.62	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.39 ↑ (3)	5.39 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
56.3%

Draw
26.8%

Real Unión de Irun
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

30.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Numancia - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Real Unión will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.22	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Numancia - Sabadell	3:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	San Juan - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:3 ✺
20.11.22	Intercity - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWWTL

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