Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Leioa		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.75	2.7	2.75
	2.65	2.75	2.7
	2.79	2.86	2.85
	2.7	2.8	2.75
	2.65	3.13	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.83)	2.83 ↓ (3.16)	2.74 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
34.2%

Draw
32.4%

Amorebieta
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leioa - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Leioa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leioa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leioa won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.12.20	Leioa - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Alavés B - Leioa	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Arenas Club de Getxo - Leioa	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
19.11.20	Las Rozas - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLTL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.11.20	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Alavés B - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
14.11.20	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.19	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:1
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Amorebieta - Leioa	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.02.19	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:0
06.10.18	Amorebieta - Leioa	1:3
28.04.18	Amorebieta - Leioa	3:2
02.12.17	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:1
25.02.17	Amorebieta - Leioa	1:3

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