Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	Real Unión de Irun		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.8
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.6	3.2	1.75
	4.81	3.19	1.85
	4.75	3.24	1.8
	4.3	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.06)	3.14 ↑ (2.63)	1.8 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
20.2%

Draw
29.1%

Real Murcia
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

34.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

33.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Unión de Irun - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Real Unión is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Murcia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Cornellà - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Osasuna B - Real Unión de Irun	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.04.23	Real Murcia - Cornellà	4:0 ✺
26.03.23	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Real Murcia - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Murcia - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun	0:0

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