Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Real de Minas		Real España

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.5	1.78
	3.3	3.65	1.8
	3.69	3.69	1.84
	3.25	3.5	1.91
	3.75	3.76	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real de Minas
25.8%

Draw
24.9%

Real España
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

19.7%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real de Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real de Minas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real de Minas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real España could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real de Minas - Real España Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Real de Minas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real España is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real de Minas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real España will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real de Minas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Real de Minas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real de Minas FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.04.21	Motagua - Real de Minas	2:2 ✺
20.03.21	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	0:3 ✺
17.03.21	Platense - Real de Minas	1:1 ✺
11.03.21	Real de Minas - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
06.03.21	Real de Minas - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLTLT
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
07.04.21	Platense - Real España	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Vida - Real España	2:3 ✺
20.03.21	Real España - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
17.03.21	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:1 ✺
11.03.21	Real España - Platense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
25.11.20	Real España - Real de Minas	1:1
04.03.20	Real de Minas - Real España	0:3
12.02.20	Real España - Real de Minas	3:0
05.10.19	Real de Minas - Real España	1:2
17.08.19	Real España - Real de Minas	5:1
31.03.19	Real de Minas - Real España	1:1
02.02.19	Real España - Real de Minas	2:0

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