The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real España 65.1%
Draw 21.1%
Platense 13.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.7%
20.2%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
17.6%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real España, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Real España - Platense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Lopez R. (G) 10. Benavidez J. (C) 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 28. Mejia C. 25. Pereira M. 2. Ramos J. 7. Ritacco G. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.
1. Bonilla M. (G) 13. Arzu M. 19. Canahuati G. 27. Garcia A. 3. Garcia E. (C) 22. Gutierrez C. 16. Portillo A. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Vuelto D. ⚽,
40', Arzu M. 🟨,
44', Suarez M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Arzu M. ⚽,
45', Raul Caceres 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Sayago D. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 1, Benavidez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Arzu M. ↓, Norales A. ↑,
56', 4 - 1, Vuelto D. ⚽,
56', 4 - 2, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
57', Ritacco G. 🟥,
58', Garcia A. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
58', Vuelto D. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
62', Sayago D. 🟨,
66', Suarez M. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
66', Canahuati G. ↓, Jasid Arzu Marin Y. ↑,
75', 4 - 3, Solano E. ⚽,
84', Salinas M. 🟨,
86', Moncada M. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
88', Urbina E. 🟨,
89', Arana M. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
90', Gutierrez C. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.
Real España has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Platense has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Real España could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Real España as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real España has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:29 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real España against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 21:10 goals (averaging 2.1:1 per game).
Honduras
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Lopez R. (G) 
Ritacco G. 
Garcia A. 
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