Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Rebordelo		Nacional

	1	X	2
	29	10	1.06
	20.9	9	1.06
	25.00	15.15	1.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	24.97 ↑ (12)	11.38 ↑ (7.5)	1.04 ↓ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordelo
3.7%

Draw
8.1%

Nacional
88.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.6%

12.2%

80.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rebordelo - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Martins J. (G) . Arims F. . Arthur . Freitas B. . Joao Victor . Katurra . Mora D. . Oliveira I. . Perreira C. . Ribeiro T. . Semedo C.	50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 33. Goncalves C. 19. Joao L. 16. Nunez A. 26. Silva J. 22. Soares F. 18. Sousa A. 24. Vallier L. 30. Watts 7. Witi 38. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
. Alexandre L. . Barbosa C. . Dangue A. . Ferreiro V. . Machado S. . Marinho . Ribeiro D. . Santos F. . Vini	2. Aurelio J. 10. Daniel Junior 88. Deivison 48. Josue 20. Jota Garces 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 28. Liziero 17. Nourani M. 11. Paulinho Boia

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Goncalves C. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Witi ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Watts ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oliveira I. ↓, Alexandre L. ↑,
46', Witi ↓, Nourani M. ↑,
46', Ze Vitor ↓, Jota Garces ↑,
46', Watts ↓, Daniel Junior ↑,
54', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rebordelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADC Rebordelo
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Rebordelo - Gouveia	3:2 penalties ✺
28.10.20	Rebordelo - Varzim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WL
- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	Nacional - Moreirense	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Braga - Nacional	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Nacional - Arouca	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Porto - Nacional	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Casa Pia - Nacional	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWLLW

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