Match Info

Date: 13 January 2021, Wednesday


	Recambios Colón		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	2.95	2.95	2.1
	3.15	3	2.2
	3.26	3.12	2.34
	3	3.13	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
29.1%

Draw
30%

Roda
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.4%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recambios Colón's form might have worsened.

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Recambios Colón - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 6 (Second stage)).

Recambios Colón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Roda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recambios Colón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Roda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recambios Colón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Recambios Colón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.01.21	Recambios Colón - Benicarló	0:2 ✺
03.01.21	Recambios Colón - Paterna	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Recambios Colón - Acero	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Atlético Saguntino - Recambios Colón	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTT
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.01.21	NAC Breda - Roda	2:2 ✺
04.01.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
14.12.20	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Jong PSV - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.03.20	Recambios Colón - Roda	1:0
13.10.19	Roda - Recambios Colón	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Recambios Colón - Roda	1:1

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