Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)


	NAC Breda		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.27	3.7	3.05
	2.28	3.7	3.03
	2.25	3.7	2.8
	2.3	3.72	2.87	Watch
	2.34	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.35)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
41.5%

Draw
26.2%

Roda
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

NAC Breda - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 6. Staring C. 20. Jensen F. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 9. Haugen S.	16. Raatsie C. (G) 44. Reith B. 3. Didden M. 4. Koglin B. 2. Muller J. P. 21. Kongolo R. (C) 15. Beerten L. 25. Ouaissa S. 10. Ould Chikh W. 14. Daneels L. 11. Sejk V.
Substitutes
23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 7. Garbett M. 3. Koscelnik M. 27. Marijnissen T. 10. Omarsson E. 21. Royo M. 25. Valerius C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.	27. Bangura S. 1. Bucker K. (G) 17. Dzepar O. 29. Guclu M. 28. Krawczyk S. 7. Pena Zauner E. 13. Roseler N. 9. Schmid M. 6. Spieringhs W. 26. van der Heide A. 8. Vossebelt N.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Sibum B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Haugen S. ⚽, Kuijpers R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ould Chikh W. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
46', Kongolo R. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
55', Raatsie C. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Janosek D. (Pen),
58', 3 - 0, Janosek D. ⚽,
61', Daneels L. ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
61', Beerten L. ↓, Spieringhs W. ↑,
65', Didden M. 🟨,
65', Pena Zauner E. 🟨,
67', Didden M. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
70', Kuijpers R. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
78', Kemper B. ↓, Royo M. ↑,
78', Jensen F. ↓, Garbett M. ↑,
86', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Koglin B. ⚽,
88', Haugen S. ↓, Omarsson E. ↑,
88', Janosek D. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 2.

Breda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Roda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Breda: Kemper B. (Yellow Cards) Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roda: Reith B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Breda won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 39-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.05.24	FC Oss - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
03.05.24	NAC Breda - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTWTL
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.05.24	Groningen - Roda	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Roda - Cambuur	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Jong Ajax - Roda	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Roda - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	FC Oss - Roda	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.03.24	Roda - NAC Breda	3:1
09.09.23	NAC Breda - Roda	1:2
29.04.23	NAC Breda - Roda	4:2
26.08.22	Roda - NAC Breda	1:3
04.02.22	NAC Breda - Roda	2:2
10.09.21	Roda - NAC Breda	0:0
16.04.21	Roda - NAC Breda	3:3

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