The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 38.2%
Draw 25%
Roda 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
24.8%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
24.1%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong AZ Alkmaar's performance.
Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schilder K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Menu M. 4. Andersen F. E. 5. Inge K. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. de Wit H. 7. Smits A. 10. Oerip J. 11. Bouziane W. 9. Kovacs B.
21. Zich B. (G) 4. Stevelmans Y. 2. Timmermans J. 3. Van Mieghem K. 26. El Meliani R. 24. Deom J. (C) 20. Leijten R. 7. Seedorf C. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 27. Kalinauskas T. 16. Cooper-Love J.
Substitutes
18. Budko B. 15. Esajas J. 19. Osazuwa S. 23. Schipper J. (G) 22. Sijbrands J. 20. Toppenberg K. 24. van den Ban Y. 17. van der Klaauw D. 21. van Driel B. 14. van Ouytsel K. 16. Zeggen K. (G)
5. Aslachanov D. 6. Crabu N. 35. Janssen F. 34. Maiorano L. 23. Steins J. (G) 30. Stojcevic M. (G) 29. Takidine I. 19. Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Coaches
Peereboom F.
van Dessel K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, de Wit H. ⚽,
43', Menu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Kovacs B. ⚽,
62', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
62', Deom J. ↓, Crabu N. ↑,
62', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
62', Smits A. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
62', Inge K. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
67', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
76', Leijten R. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
82', de Wit H. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
87', Twisk N. ↓, Sijbrands J. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Roda is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
Watch
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Schilder K. (G) 
Andersen F. E. 
Kovacs B. 
Zich B. (G) 
Van Mieghem K. 
Lajud Martinez D. 
Kalinauskas T. 
Cooper-Love J. 
Budko B. 
Osazuwa S. 
Maiorano L. 
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