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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 36.3%
Draw 24.8%
Roda 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
24.6%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
24.6%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
15.4%
23.1%
Jong PSV - Roda Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Roda will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 35% – 88%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 3 - 60%). Roda (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Jong PSV (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Roda (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Roda (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. Bresser M. 4. van der Plas S. 5. van de Riet R. 6. Sidibe S. 10. van den Berg J. 8. Fernandez N. 7. Abed T. 9. van Duiven R. (C) 11. Thomas A.
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 18. Kother T. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 6. Paulissen M. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
18. Bawuah J. 19. Jones A. 17. Kluit F. 20. Koller J. 14. Merien F. 16. Ngom K. (G) 15. Raap Y. 21. Verkooijen N.
15. Beerten L. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 11. Griffith I. 20. Leijten R. 10. Schwirten J. 7. Seedorf C. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Schaars S.
van Dessel K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Muller J. P. 🟨,
38', Abed T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Thomas A. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
68', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
68', Paulissen M. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
68', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
74', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
78', Breij M. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
81', Bresser M. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
81', van de Riet R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
89', van den Berg J. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
90+1', Seedorf C. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
Jong PSV is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Roda: Maiorano L.
(Red Card)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).
Netherlands
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Smolenaars T. (G) 
Sidibe S. 
Fernandez N. 
Abed T. 
Treichel J. (G) 
Nisbet J. 
Lajud Martinez D. 
van den Hurk A. (C) 
Raap Y. 
Cooper-Love J. 
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