Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Recanatese		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.9	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.78	3.02	2.51
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.84	2.83	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.23)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.43 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
32.6%

Draw
30.1%

Arezzo
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recanatese's form might have worsened.

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recanatese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Recanatese - Arezzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arezzo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 13. Ricci L. 14. Ferrante E. 54. Peretti M. 28. Mane M. 16. Morrone B. 4. Prisco A. 8. Carpani G. 25. Longobardi G. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.	1. Trombini L. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 4. Risaliti G. 13. Chiosa M. 23. Poggesi A. 18. Damiani M. 16. Eklu S. M. 10. Pattarello E. 7. Guccione F. 11. Gaddini M. 28. Gucci N.
Substitutes
30. Canonici G. 17. Egharevba D. 21. Giampaolo D. 11. Lipari M. 23. Marinacci V. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 3. Quacquarelli G. 7. Senigagliesi L. 12. Tiberi M. 51. Topa	5. Bianchi S. 22. Borra D. (G) 27. Coccia L. 26. Crisafi J. F. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 19. Iori M. 9. Kozak L. 2. Montini A. 14. Renzi A.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arezzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arezzo have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
08.10.23	Rimini - Recanatese	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Recanatese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Juventus U23 - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Pontedera - Recanatese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.23	Arezzo - Cesena	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Virtus Entella - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Arezzo - Olbia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTWT

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