Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Recanatese		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.45	3.02	3.07
	2.36	3.13	2.96	Watch
	2.34	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
38.7%

Draw
30%

Vis Pesaro
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 3. Allievi N. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 31. Fiorini M. 25. Longobardi G. 11. Lipari M. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F.	1. Neri F. (G) 6. Rossoni S. 4. Zagnoni D. 13. Neri G. M. 80. Da Pozzo L. 16. Obi J. 10. Di Paola M. 25. Mattioli A. 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Karlsson O. 32. Molina J. I.
Substitutes
74. Ahmetaj M. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 16. Morrone B. 7. Pelamatti A. 54. Peretti M. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 33. Rizzo F. 12. Tiberi M. 2. Veltri A.	19. Afonso Peixoto 15. Ceccacci M. 28. Foresta A. 45. Giorgini P. 60. Gulli M. 39. Iervolino A. 23. Loru L. 12. Mariani M. (G) 8. Nina C. 11. Pecile D. 22. Polverino E. (G) 38. Rossetti M. 5. Tonucci D. 37. Valdifiori M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Melchiorri F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Melchiorri F. 🟨,
55', Shiba C. 🟨,
67', Karlsson O. 🟨,
71', Carpani G. 🟨,
85', Raparo M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Virtus Entella - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Recanatese - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.04.24	Cesena - Recanatese	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pineto - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWT
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Lucchese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0
22.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Recanatese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.22	Vis Pesaro - Recanatese	0:1
04.09.22	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.09.17	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	0:4
27.11.16	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:2

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