The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 35.8%
Draw 27.2%
Chieti 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
27%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
25.9%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Recanatese - Chieti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, D'Angelo M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, D'Angelo M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Recently, Recanatese has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).