Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday


	Recanatese		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.82	3.35	4
	1.82	3.45	4.55
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.76	3.42	4.26
	1.84	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	4.04 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
50.6%

Draw
26.8%

Fermana
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

28%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Recanatese - Fermana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 54. Peretti M. 5. Shiba C. 16. Morrone B. 25. Longobardi G. 4. Prisco A. 8. Carpani G. 2. Veltri A. 10. Sbaffo A. (C) 11. Lipari M. 9. Melchiorri F.	22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 6. Fort F. 5. Spedalieri J. 3. Pistolesi F. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 21. Malaccari N. 11. Paponi D. 30. Petrungaro L. 26. Misuraca G.
Substitutes
74. Ahmetaj M. 17. Egharevba D. 99. Elbazar E. 14. Ferrante E. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 7. Pelamatti A. 3. Quacquarelli G. 19. Raimo A. 24. Raparo M. 13. Ricci L.	13. Bonfigli L. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 17. Condello S. 36. Fiumano F. 16. Fontana T. 24. Gianelli J. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 28. Niang O. 90. Petrelli E. 10. Pinzi R. 15. Santi P. 70. Semprini M. 7. Tilli R.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1.

Recanatese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fermana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Recanatese is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
20.01.24	Lucchese - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Recanatese - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
10.01.24	Gubbio - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Sassari Torres - Recanatese	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	Recanatese - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
21.01.24	Fermana - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Pontedera - Fermana	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pescara - Fermana	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Fermana - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.23	Fermana - Recanatese	0:1
15.01.23	Fermana - Recanatese	0:0
14.09.22	Recanatese - Fermana	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.11.16	Fermana - Recanatese	2:1
01.05.16	Recanatese - Fermana	0:1

Recanatese - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide