Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.9	4.1
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.07	3.05	3.75
	1.99	3.08	3.82	Watch
	1.98	3.02	4.26
	2.07	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	3.77 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
45%

Draw
30.6%

Real Murcia
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Fran (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 4. Pujol E. 22. Jimenez D. 27. Fortuny P. 6. Andres C. 8. Angel M. 23. Yusi 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 4. Saveljich E. 6. Gonzalez A. 21. Cadete 16. Boateng R. 30. Palmberg 9. Benito P. A. P. 22. Juan Carlos 7. Buron L. 12. Alcania R.
Substitutes
11. Alonso B. 16. Antonio David 20. Campos A. 32. Carvajal A. 2. Lorenzo 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 15. Ribes K. 17. Ruiz D. 36. Yanez D.	20. Davo 28. Forns I. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 24. Moha Moukhliss 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Yusi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andres C. 🟨,
57', Boateng R. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
67', Alcania R. ↓, Soler K. ↑,
67', Buron L. ↓, Davo ↑,
72', Zuniga L. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
72', Andres C. ↓, Alonso B. ↑,
80', Fortuny P. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
82', Juan Carlos ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
82', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
86', Saveljich E. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.03.25	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTWT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.25	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1
24.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	5:1
12.11.23	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
07.06.14	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0
11.01.14	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	2:2
05.05.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	2:0
30.11.12	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0

Upcoming Matches