Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2


	Red Bull Bragantino		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.8	Watch
	2.10	3.00	3.70
	2.12	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.2	3.08	3.93
	2.23	2.99	3.7	Watch
	2.14	3	3.75
	2.1	2.95	3.93	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.05)	3.01 ↓ (3.26)	3.79 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
43.6%

Draw
31.5%

Atlético Mineiro
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	69.2%	0%

Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 16. Gustavo Marques 2. Rodriguez G. (C) 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 20. Rodriguinho 32. Herrera J. 21. Lucas Barbosa 17. Vinicinho 8. Eduardo Sasha	22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 13. Lyanco 6. Lodi R. 21. Franco A. 8. Maycon 28. Cuello 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard 19. Reinier
Substitutes
4. Alix Vinicius 3. Eduardo Santos 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 14. Pedro Henrique 9. Pitta I. 15. Sosa I. 18. Tiago Volpi (G) 41. Yuri Alves	5. Alexsander 9. Cassierra M. 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 48. Gutte 17. Igor Gomes 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Lyanco ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
56', Herrera J. ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
65', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
65', Reinier ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
65', Victor Hugo ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
71', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Cuello ⚽, Igor Gomes (A),
81', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
84', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
84', Gabriel ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
86', Cuello ↓, Cisse M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

RB Bragantino might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Atletico-MG: 34.91%

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.41%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.26	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTT
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Remo - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.26	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0
03.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
22.09.24	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0
11.06.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:2
25.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:2
10.06.23	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1

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