The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino 44.4%
Draw 26.1%
Cruzeiro 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.2%
26.7%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
26.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Tiago Volpi (C) 52. Tavares R. 2. Rodriguez G. 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 5. Fabinho 7. Eric Ramires 21. Lucas Barbosa 47. Wallace Yan 11. Fernando Santos 8. Eduardo Sasha
81. Otavio Costa (G) 12. William Furtado (C) 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 5. Ze Lucas 8. Gerson 38. Felipe Morais 10. Matheus Pereira 99. Arroyo K. 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
19. Bruninho 1. Cleiton (G) 3. Eduardo Santos 6. Gabriel 22. Gustavo Neves 32. Herrera J. 35. Matheus Fernandes 9. Pitta I. 23. Sant'Anna A. 15. Sosa I. 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho
9. Bruno Rodrigues 1. Cassio (G) 15. Fabricio Bruno 2. Kaua Moraes 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 11. Marquinhos 7. Matheus Henrique 97. Rodriguez L. 25. Villalba L. 6. Vina M. 20. Wesley
Coaches
Vagner Mancini
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Eric Ramires (A),
18', William Furtado 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge (Own goal),
28', Tavares R. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Eric Ramires ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Ze Lucas ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', William Furtado ↓, Fabricio Bruno ↑,
46', Rojas G. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
58', Gustavo Marques ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
63', Joao Marcelo ↓, Wesley ↑,
63', Ze Lucas ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
65', Wallace Yan ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
66', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
66', Eric Ramires ↓, Gabriel ↑,
77', Felipe Morais 🟨,
78', Felipe Morais ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
81', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Matheus Henrique ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
Recent results have been tough for RB Bragantino (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cruzeiro has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cruzeiro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
RB Bragantino is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Inactive)
Gabriel Pec
(Broken Leg)
Sinisterra L.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for RB Bragantino: Hurtado A.
(Rest)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Cruzeiro: Kenji
(Ankle Injury)
Villarreal N.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RB Bragantino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Cruzeiro
32
16
6
10
51:46
5
54
10
Bragantino
32
11
8
13
39:38
1
41
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Cruzeiro: 0.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Cruzeiro - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Tiago Volpi (C) 
Rodriguez G. 
Rojas G. 
Arroyo K. 
Pitta I. 
Artur Jorge 
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