The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino 44.1%
Draw 27%
Cruzeiro 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
26.7%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
26.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
RB Bragantino is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Cruzeiro have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
RB Bragantino may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with RB Bragantino holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RB Bragantino against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Cruzeiro
28
13
6
9
42:40
2
45
10
Bragantino
29
10
7
12
34:33
1
37
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Cruzeiro - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.