Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 32

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Max
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.77	3.4	5
	1.78	3.4	5	Watch
	1.78	3.47	5.41
	1.83	3.42	4.73	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.42	4.97	Watch
	1.78	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	5.05 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
53.2%

Draw
28%

Cuiabá
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 29. Juninho Capixaba 35. Matheus Fernandes 8. Lucas Evangelista 10. Lincoln 28. Vitinho 19. Eduardo Sasha 6. Jhon Jhon	1. Walter (C) 2. Matheus Alexandre 4. Marllon 34. Bruno Alves 23. Ramon 5. Filipe Augusto 88. Fernando Sobral 18. Lucas Fernandes 19. Gustavo Sauer 9. Pitta I. 22. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
27. Arthur Sousa 9. Cavaleiro I. 39. Douglas Mendes 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 36. Luan Candido 40. Lucao (G) 4. Lucas Cunha 21. Neto J. 23. Raul 54. Vinicinho 50. Vitinho	97. Andre Luis 27. Denilson Alves 11. Eliel 44. Gabriel 77. Jadson 7. Jonathan Cafu 63. Juan Tavares 30. Lucas Mineiro 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 21. Railan 20. Souza D.
Coaches
Seabra F.	Franco B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
33', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
33', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
60', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
60', Lincoln ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
68', Walter 🟨,
70', Derik Lacerda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
70', Filipe Augusto ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
73', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Guilherme Lopes ↑,
73', Vitinho ↓,
83', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
86', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
90', Pitta I. ↓, Jadson ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Borbas T. (Thigh Injury) Hurtado A. (Thigh Injury) Mosquera H. (Groin Injury) Nathan Camargo (Injury)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Vitória Salvador - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
28.10.24	Cuiabá - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
24.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FMF Mato Grosso
07.10.24	Cuiabá - Mixto	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.24	Cuiabá - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.06.24	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
27.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	2:0
22.04.23	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
05.10.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	2:1
11.06.22	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
01.11.21	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
07.07.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	1:1

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