Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 13

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos, Flow Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Red Bull Bragantino		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.55
	2.72	3.05	2.68
	2.87	3.19	2.76
	2.77	3.19	2.68	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.63
	2.82	3.13	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.28)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	2.67 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
34.2%

Draw
30.4%

Palmeiras
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

29.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 35. Matheus Fernandes 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha (C) 30. Mosquera H. 9. Pitta I.	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 3. Bruno Fuchs 15. Gomez G. (C) 56. Arthur Gabriel 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 19. Sosa R. 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
51. Caue Nascimento 1. Cleiton (G) 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 11. Fernando Santos 22. Gustavo Neves 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 32. Herrera J. 57. Marcelinho 20. Rodriguinho 15. Sosa I. 17. Vinicinho	24. Aranha (G) 43. Benedetti 7. Felipe Anderson 6. Jefte 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Martins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
45+4', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Lopez J. ↓, Mauricio ↑,
58', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
61', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
61', Mosquera H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
61', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
64', Felipe Anderson 🟨,
75', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
78', Giay A. 🟨,
86', Arias J. ↓, Khellven ↑,
86', Sosa R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
88', Gabriel ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
88', Hurtado A. ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 0.

RB Bragantino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48:21	27	60
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Remo	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWWLL
- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Palmeiras - Jacuipense	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	5:1
18.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.01.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:0
20.06.24	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	2:1

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