Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juventude		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.32
	3.27	3.26	2.41
	2.85	3.10	2.56	Watch
	3.19	3.31	2.35	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.66)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.43 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
31.3%

Draw
29.5%

Red Bull Bragantino
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	38.9%	50%

Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - RB Bragantino (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 32. Igor Formiga 22. Marcelo Hermes 34. Rodrigo Sam 47. Marcos Paulo 16. Jadson (C) 72. Peixoto 95. Caique Goncalves 9. Gilberto 19. Gabriel Taliari 99. Rafael Bilu	1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 14. Pedro Henrique 4. Alix Vinicius 12. Vanderlan 6. Gabriel 7. Eric Ramires 29. Juninho Capixaba 10. Jhon Jhon 18. Borbas T. 33. Laquintana I.
Substitutes
23. Abner 87. Edison Negueba 97. Enio 2. Ewerthon 7. Gabriel Veron 11. Giovanny 25. Guruceaga G. (G) 17. Matheus Babi 10. Nene 93. Reginaldo 90. Scatolin J. 6. Sforza J.	8. Eduardo Sasha 5. Fabinho 11. Fernando 31. Guilherme 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 38. Kevyn Monteiro 40. Lucao (G) 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 45. Nathan Mendes 25. Praxedes
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Peixoto ⚽, Igor Formiga (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borbas T. ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
46', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
46', Marcos Paulo ↓, Abner ↑,
53', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
59', Gilberto 🟨,
63', Gilberto ↓, Nene ↑,
63', Rafael Bilu ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
65', Eric Ramires ↓, Fernando ↑,
68', Nene 🟨,
73', Vanderlan ↓, Praxedes ↑,
74', Gabriel ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
78', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
81', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
81', Peixoto ↓, Enio ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.

Juventude is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Juventude: Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Gabriel Veron (Hamstring Injury) Jandrei (Yellow Cards) Luan Freitas (Inactive) Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Mandaca (Yellow Cards) Nata (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Inactive) Cleiton (Illness) Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Lucas Barbosa (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Mandaca (Injury)

There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Laquintana I. (Inactive) Rodriguez G. (Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.25	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Palmeiras - Juventude	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Atlético Mineiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLTT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
01.10.25	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:0
29.09.24	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
15.06.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	2:1
31.07.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:0
11.04.22	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
30.11.21	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
14.08.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:2

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