Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 24

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Red Bull Bragantino		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.61	4.1	5.25
	1.58	3.85	5.60
	1.64	4.12	5.87
	1.68	3.85	5.19	Watch
	1.58	4.00	5.75
	1.63	4.05	5.55	Watch
	1.57	3.95	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)	3.98 ↑ (3.45)	5.55 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
59%

Draw
23.8%

Grêmio
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 14. Pedro Henrique 16. Gustavo Marques (C) 29. Juninho Capixaba 7. Eric Ramires 20. Rodriguinho 32. Herrera J. 21. Lucas Barbosa 17. Vinicinho 9. Pitta I.	1. Weverton (G) 27. Diego Caito 82. Wallace 3. Wagner Leonardo 23. Marlon 8. Noriega E. 21. Tete 20. Villasanti M. (C) 10. Krovinovic F. 9. Amuzu F. 22. Braithwaite M.
Substitutes
4. Alix Vinicius 1. Cleiton (G) 8. Eduardo Sasha 5. Fabinho 6. Gabriel 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 2. Rodriguez G. 15. Sosa I. 41. Yuri Alves	77. Cabral J. 95. Carlos Vinicius 15. Danilo Barbosa 99. Enamorado J. 2. Fabian Balbuena 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 43. Luis Eduardo 14. Marcos Rocha 30. Matheus Nascimento 7. Pavon C. 54. Pedro Gabriel
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
45+3', Noriega E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tete ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
64', Amuzu F. ↓, Cabral J. ↑,
64', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
64', Herrera J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
72', Sant'Anna A. 🟨,
72', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
76', Weverton 🟨,
86', Wallace 🟨,
86', Rodriguinho ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
86', Vinicinho ↓, Yuri Alves ↑,
88', Krovinovic F. ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
90+2', Noriega E. ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Gustavo Marques ⚽, Gustavo Neves (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Fernando Santos (Illness) Vanderlan (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Fabian Balbuena (Coach's decision) Joao Pedro (Transfer negotiations) Monsalve M. (Coach's decision) Walter Kannemann (Yellow Cards)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37
18	Gremio	29	7	9	13	31:39	-8	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Grêmio - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Mirassol - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	Grêmio - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
12.03.26	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
04.10.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	1:0
10.05.25	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
15.09.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	2:2
01.06.24	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2
14.09.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	2:0
07.05.23	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	3:3

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