Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Mirassol		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.78	3.05	2.52
	3.21	3.18	2.42
	3.16	3.14	2.33	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.73	3.26	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.3)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)	2.46 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mirassol
32.2%

Draw
29.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirassol's form might have worsened.

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 60%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 20. Daniel Borges 97. Rodrigues 2. Lucas Oliveira 12. Victor Luis 26. Lucas Mugni 5. Yuri Lara 17. Everton Galdino 10. Chico Kim (C) 27. Galeano A. 29. Tiquinho Soares	18. Tiago Volpi (C) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 7. Eric Ramires 32. Herrera J. 21. Lucas Barbosa 30. Mosquera H. 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
77. Alesson 96. Carlos Eduardo 95. Edson Carioca 33. Eduardo 1. Georgemy (G) 16. Igor Carius 34. Joao Victor 9. Nathan Fogaca 25. Neto Moura 6. Reinaldo 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G)	46. Breno 1. Cleiton (G) 8. Eduardo Sasha 11. Fernando Santos 22. Gustavo Neves 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 57. Marcelinho 14. Pedro Henrique 20. Rodriguinho 23. Sant'Anna A. 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Tiquinho Soares ⚽, Everton Galdino (A),
45', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
61', Galeano A. ↓, Alesson ↑,
64', Eric Ramires ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽,
69', Lucas Mugni ↓, Eduardo ↑,
69', Yuri Lara ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
75', Gabriel ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
75', Hurtado A. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
75', Herrera J. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
80', Everton Galdino ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
81', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.

Mirassol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Bragantino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.

Mirassol might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Mirassol - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Mirassol - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	São Paulo - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Blooming - Red Bull Bragantino	0:6 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
21.01.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.25	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
05.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	3:0
11.02.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol	0:0

Upcoming Matches