Match Info

Paulista - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	São Bernardo		Capivariano

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.25	5.75	Watch
	1.72	3.3	5.15
	1.67	3.52	5.51	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.7	3.18	5.09	Watch
	1.72	3.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	5.34 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
54.4%

Draw
28.3%

Capivariano
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Capivariano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

São Bernardo - Capivariano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - São Bernardo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 21. Hugo Sanches 3. Helder Maciel 25. Gonzaga W. 6. Para 8. Foguinho (C) 17. Romisson 28. Joao Paulo 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia 31. Victor Andrade	12. Guilherme Nogueira (G) 2. Marcos Moser 3. Octavio 5. Bruno Silva 6. Leonan Santos 10. Mike 8. Thiago Moraes 4. Wendel Lomar 7. Bastos R. 9. Vinicius Popo 11. Felipe Azevedo
Substitutes
97. Augusto 10. Fabricio Daniel 30. Junior Urso 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 5. Matheus Salustiano 19. Neto Costa 7. Pedrinho 11. Pedro Vitor 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 20. Rodrigues F.	19. Baianinho 17. Balao 18. Carlos Eduardo 13. Lailton Canabrava 22. Leandrinho 14. Lucas Dias 21. Matheus Guilherme 20. Ravanelli 15. Tarcisio 1. Teixeira M. (G) 23. Tiago (G) 16. Vinicius Guedes
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Sizenando E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Echapora ⚽, Romisson (A),
33', Helder Maciel 🟨,
36', Leonan Santos 🟨,
41', Bastos R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Leonan Santos ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
46', Bastos R. ↓, Ravanelli ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Echapora ⚽,
65', Echapora ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
65', Victor Andrade ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
66', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Felipe Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
74', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Baianinho ↑,
74', Mike ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
77', Felipe Garcia ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
77', Thiago Moraes ↓, Vinicius Guedes ↑,
79', Baianinho 🟨,
83', Ravanelli 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', Joao Paulo ↓, Rodrigues F. ↑,
90+2', Tarcisio 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 0, Pedro Vitor ⚽,

Preview

In this match, São Bernardo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Capivariano: Guilherme Nogueira (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	São Bernardo - Floresta	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Floresta - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Caxias - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLTT
- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.04.25	EC Primavera - Capivariano	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Capivariano - Ituano	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Capivariano - Piracicaba	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.02.16	Capivariano - São Bernardo	2:0
07.02.15	São Bernardo - Capivariano	1:1

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