Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App
Argentina	Flow Eventos
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 11, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Red Bull Salzburg		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.48
	7	4.6	1.44
	7.1	4.8	1.45	Watch
	7.69	4.76	1.43
	7.3	4.67	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.44
	7.55	4.66	1.48
	7.1	4.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↑ (6.89)	4.65 ↑ (4.51)	1.45 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
13.4%

Draw
20.6%

Atlético Madrid
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

21%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

20.3%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	8.8%	80.7%

Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (45 of 56 users predict this - 80.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.95% – 90.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schlager A. (C) 70. Dedic A. 6. Baidoo S. 4. Blank H. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 7. Capaldo N. 15. Diambou M. 30. Gloukh O. 45. Nene D. 28. Daghim A.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 3. Azpilicueta C. 22. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 5. de Paul R. 12. Lino S. 19. Alvarez J. 7. Griezmann A.
Substitutes
8. Bajcetic S. 1. Blaswich J. (G) 10. Clark B. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 16. Kawamura T. 36. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 21. Ratkov P.	40. Belaid R. 10. Correa A. 4. Gallagher C. 2. Gimenez J. M. 27. Kostis I. 11. Lemar T. 23. Mandava R. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Simeone D.

Preview

Salzburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Guindo D. (Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Ankle Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Onisiwo K. (Injury) Tijani S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Red Card) Galan J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Real Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Midtjylland - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
06.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Klagenfurt	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid	1:0
UEFA Champions League
09.12.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid	0:2
27.10.20	Atlético Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2

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