Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App
Argentina	17:00	Flow Eventos
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 11, New World TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 8
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Rugby
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Red Bull Salzburg		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.48
	7	4.6	1.44
	7.1	4.8	1.45	Watch
	7.69	4.76	1.43
	7.3	4.67	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.44
	7.55	4.66	1.48
	7.1	4.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↑ (6.89)	4.65 ↑ (4.51)	1.45 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
13.4%

Draw
20.6%

Atlético Madrid
66%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.8%

21%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

20.3%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	8.8%	80.7%

Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (45 of 56 users predict this - 80.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.95% – 90.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schlager A. (C) 70. Dedic A. 6. Baidoo S. 4. Blank H. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K. 7. Capaldo N. 15. Diambou M. 30. Gloukh O. 45. Nene D. 28. Daghim A.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 3. Azpilicueta C. 22. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 5. de Paul R. 12. Lino S. 19. Alvarez J. 7. Griezmann A.
Substitutes
8. Bajcetic S. 1. Blaswich J. (G) 10. Clark B. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 16. Kawamura T. 36. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 21. Ratkov P.	40. Belaid R. 10. Correa A. 4. Gallagher C. 2. Gimenez J. M. 27. Kostis I. 11. Lemar T. 23. Mandava R. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Simeone D.

Preview

Salzburg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Guindo D. (Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Ankle Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Onisiwo K. (Injury) Tijani S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Red Card) Galan J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Real Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Midtjylland - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
06.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Klagenfurt	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid	1:0
UEFA Champions League
09.12.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Atlético Madrid	0:2
27.10.20	Atlético Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2

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