Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.87	3.5	4.62
	1.82	3.47	4.62
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.82	3.58	4.01	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	4.16 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
51.3%

Draw
26.5%

Niort
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Niort aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Red Star - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Anani A. 29. Benali H. 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. (C) 2. Meyapya B.	1. Delecroix P. (G) 26. Benchama S. 2. Bernard Q. (C) 21. Bouekou N. 10. Dali Amar B. 14. Durivaux D. 19. Elphege N. 9. Inchaud M. 18. Mbondo B. 17. Renel S. 7. Zemzemi M.
Substitutes
17. Botella I. 13. Doucoure F. 35. Doucoure R. 23. Ikanga J. 25. Ndoye C.	25. Anaba R. 22. Bakayoko I. R. 28. El Hassani N. 23. Keita M. 40. Mbeubap J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Kouagba L. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Elphege N. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Anani A. ↓, Botella I. ↑,
46', Hachem R. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Benali H. ⚽, Dembi F. J. (A),
69', 2 - 1, Botella I. ⚽, Gozzi P. (A),
72', Elphege N. ↓, Anaba R. ↑,
73', Dembi F. J. 🟨,
74', Benali H. ↓, Ndoye C. ↑,
78', Inchaud M. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
79', Dali Amar B. ↓, Bakayoko I. R. ↑,
89', Cisse K. ↓, Doucoure R. ↑,
90+4', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
29.03.24	Cholet - Red Star	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Red Star - Nancy	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Villefranche - Red Star	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWTT
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 3
01.04.24	Niort - Orleans	0:0 ✺
25.03.24	Versailles - Niort	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Niort - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
11.03.24	Dijon - Niort	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Niort - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.11.23	Niort - Red Star	1:1
French Ligue 2
17.05.19	Niort - Red Star	1:0
27.07.18	Red Star - Niort	1:2
24.02.17	Niort - Red Star	2:3
23.09.16	Red Star - Niort	0:1
15.04.16	Red Star - Niort	0:2
27.11.15	Niort - Red Star	0:0

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