Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Reggiana		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
	2.3	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.36	2.97	3.7
	2.33	2.93	3.58	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.24	3.2	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)	3.01 ↓ (3.03)	3.4 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
40.8%

Draw
31.4%

Nuova Cosenza
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

32.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	77.8%	16.7%

Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bardi F. (C) 16. Reinhart T. 13. Meroni A. 44. Lucchesi L. 24. Fontanarosa A. 30. Vergara A. 17. Libutti L. 5. Sersanti A. 7. Marras M. 90. Portanova M. 10. Vido L.	1. Micai A. (C) 4. Martino P. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 34. Florenzi A. 28. Kouan C. 31. Ricci G. 6. Charlys 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 32. Strizzolo L.
Substitutes
8. Cigarini L. 15. Fiamozzi R. 80. Girma N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 77. Kabashi E. 27. Maggio M. 1. Motta E. (G) 87. Nahounou Y. 23. Pettinari S. 31. Sampirisi M. 6. Stulac L. 29. Urso O.	12. Baldi G. (G) 90. Begheldo G. 19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 39. Kourfalidis C. 30. Mazzocchi S. 9. Sankoh M. 23. Venturi M. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.
Coaches
Viali W.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
12', Kouan C. 🟨,
31', Florenzi A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Ricciardi M. ⚽, Strizzolo L. (A),
43', Caporale A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vido L. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
46', Kouan C. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
54', Strizzolo L. 🟨,
55', Strizzolo L. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
55', Caporale A. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
59', Meroni A. 🟨,
63', Marras M. 🟨,
66', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
68', Marras M. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
69', Ricciardi M. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
77', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
79', Reinhart T. 🟨,
82', Libutti L. ↓, Fiamozzi R. ↑,
82', Reinhart T. ↓, Cigarini L. ↑,
88', Florenzi A. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
90+3', Kourfalidis C. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Reggiana will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cosenza: Hristov A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Rozzio P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Palermo - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Reggiana - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Spezia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Carrarese - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Reggiana - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.04.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:4
11.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	2:0
20.03.21	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
12.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	0:1

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