Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.37	3.01	3.6
	2.35	2.98	3.46	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.37	2.92	3.48	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.43 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
41.4%

Draw
31.2%

Juve Stabia
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (C) 5. Dalle Mura C. 55. Hristov A. 17. Caporale A. 19. Ciervo R. 34. Florenzi A. 28. Kouan C. 31. Ricci G. 21. Zilli M. 10. Fumagalli T. 16. Ricciardi M.	20. Ngagne D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 23. Folino F. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 8. Buglio D. 10. Pierobon C. 29. Fortini N. 37. Maistro F. 9. Adorante A. 27. Candellone L. (C)
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 90. Begheldo G. 6. Charlys 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 30. Mazzocchi S. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 32. Strizzolo L. 22. Vettorel T. (G)	28. Andreoni C. 90. Artistico G. 13. Baldi M. 25. Gerbo A. 55. Leone G. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 98. Mosti N. 99. Piovanello E. 11. Piscopo K. 3. Rocchetti Y. 7. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Ruggero M. 🟨,
6', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Maistro F. ⚽, Pierobon C. (A),
29', Caporale A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Ricciardi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Candellone L. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
60', Ciervo R. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
60', Zilli M. ↓, Strizzolo L. ↑,
61', Fumagalli T. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
64', Folino F. 🟨,
66', Hristov A. 🟥,
68', Mazzocchi S. 🟨,
74', Ricciardi M. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
74', Bellich M. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
74', Maistro F. ↓, Leone G. ↑,
74', Floriani R. ↓, Andreoni C. ↑,
87', Pierobon C. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
88', Florenzi A. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cosenza will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Cosenza: Venturi M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Di Marco T. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTLW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
20.10.24	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
04.10.24	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Juve Stabia - Pisa	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.07.20	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	3:1
29.12.19	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
31.03.18	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	1:2
11.11.17	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:0
19.03.17	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	2:4
30.10.16	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
28.02.16	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	2:1

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