Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.1	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	1.98	3.15	3.9	Watch
	2.09	3.12	4.32
	1.97	3.25	4.01	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.05	3.18	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2.01)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	3.95 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
46.6%

Draw
29.8%

Reggiana
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Spezia - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Radunovic B. (G) 32. Vignali L. (C) 37. Mateju A. 94. Bonfanti G. 17. Sernicola L. 70. Adamo E. 60. Romano A. 6. Bellemo A. 11. Beruatto P. 9. Artistico G. 99. Vlahovic V.	1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 43. Bonetti S. 23. Rover M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. (C) 33. Tripaldelli A. 9. Novakovich A. 80. Girma N.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 25. Bandinelli F. 34. Comotto C. 20. Di Serio G. 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 8. Nagy A. 4. Ruggero M. 19. Shagaxle H. 5. Valoti M.	45. Cardinali M. (G) 77. Fumagalli T. 11. Gondo D. Y. 17. Libutti L. 72. Maisterra R. 44. Mendicino L. 66. Pinelli P. 14. Quaranta D. 4. Rozzio P. 31. Sampirisi M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Donadoni R.	Rubinacci L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Mateju A. 🟨,
29', Bellemo A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Novakovich A. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
45+1', Mateus Lusuardi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mateus Lusuardi ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
46', Adamo E. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
46', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
60', Vlahovic V. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
65', Novakovich A. ↓, Gondo D. Y. ↑,
73', Bellemo A. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
74', Bertagnoli M. 🟨,
74', Vignali L. 🟨,
77', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
78', Portanova M. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
80', Romano A. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
87', Girma N. 🟨,
90', Rover M. ↓, Sampirisi M. ↑,
90+4', Bandinelli F. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Spezia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury) Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Valoti M. (Inactive) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M. (Inactive) Charlys (Yellow Cards) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Sampirisi M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G. (Inactive) Hristov P. (Inactive) Lapadula G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Gondo C. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Spezia - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bari - Spezia	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Spezia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTTL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Reggiana - Mantova	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Catanzaro - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Reggiana - Spezia	1:1
04.05.25	Reggiana - Spezia	2:1
05.10.24	Spezia - Reggiana	1:0
16.03.24	Reggiana - Spezia	0:0
23.09.23	Spezia - Reggiana	1:2
Coppa Italia
05.08.17	Spezia - Reggiana	3:0

Spezia - Reggiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide