The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggiana 30.9%
Draw 30.2%
SPAL 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
30.4%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
22.3%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for SPAL have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPAL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.5%
44.4%
37%
Reggiana - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). SPAL will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.7% โ 63.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Reggiana has a good chance of relegated (94%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
SPAL has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has not chance of win league.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.
Watch
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