Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	SPAL		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.35	3.15	3.05
	2.36	3.15	2.95
	2.47	3.22	3.2
	2.45	3	3
	2.4	3.18	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)	3 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
39.4%

Draw
29.4%

Venezia
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	42.1%	21.1%

SPAL - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

SPAL has the most likely position - 15 (6.6%), has project points - 49, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Venezia has the most likely position - 4 (6.84%), has project points - 55, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 35, small importance 30, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches SPAL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Bari - SPAL	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	SPAL - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Ascoli - SPAL	1:1 ✺
14.08.22	SPAL - Reggina	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.08.22	Empoli - SPAL	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTLW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Venezia - Benevento	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Cittadella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:2 ✺
14.08.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
07.08.22	Venezia - Ascoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.04.21	SPAL - Venezia	1:1
19.12.20	Venezia - SPAL	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.10.14	SPAL - Venezia	1:0

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