Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 14

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Minelli D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Brescia		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.88	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.25	4.3
	1.88	3.44	4.79
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.85	3.54	4.2	Watch
	1.84	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.86)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	4.3 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
50.3%

Draw
27.9%

SPAL
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10.7%	14.3%

Brescia - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 21 - 75%). SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Brescia has the most likely position - 5 (8.07%), has project points - 56, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

SPAL has the most likely position - 13 (7.71%), has project points - 48, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 29, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Brescia is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.11.22	Ternana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Genoa - Brescia	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Brescia - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Spezia - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTTL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
12.11.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Ternana - SPAL	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	SPAL - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	SPAL - Nuova Cosenza	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.10.22	Genoa - SPAL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Brescia - SPAL	1:1
11.12.21	SPAL - Brescia	0:2
01.05.21	Brescia - SPAL	3:1
30.12.20	SPAL - Brescia	2:3
Italian Serie A
19.07.20	Brescia - SPAL	2:1
08.12.19	SPAL - Brescia	0:1
Italian Serie B
09.04.17	Brescia - SPAL	1:3

Brescia - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide