Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Heiwado HATO Stadium (Hikone)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Reilac Shiga		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.15	1.95	Watch
	3.89	3.26	2.05
	3.88	3.35	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.78	3.22	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilac Shiga
24.5%

Draw
28.5%

Oita Trinita
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.1%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilac Shiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilac Shiga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oita Trinita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Reilac Shiga - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reilac Shiga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 44. Fujitani S. 55. Onodera K. 4. Ide K. 77. Hojo S. 32. Umiguchi G. 24. Romero F. 13. Koizumi R. 7. Kubota K. 17. Kinoshita R. 99. Okuda H.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 30. Tone I. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 7. Yoshida M. 36. Matsuo Y. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 20. Kimoto T. 9. Arima K. 17. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
10. Hitomi T. 1. Ito K. (G) 15. Kikushima T. 11. Miyake K. 8. Nakamura K. 5. Nishiyama T. 16. Suzuki S. 26. Tsunoda S. 47. Watanabe R.	13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 18. Nodake J. 2. Okamoto T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Udo S. 72. Yamaguchi T. 25. Yamazaki T. 15. Yashiki Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Yoshida M. ⚽, Kimoto T. (A),
23', Misao Y. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Kubota K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kinoshita R. ↓, Hitomi T. ↑,
46', Onodera K. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
46', Kubota K. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
47', Umiguchi G. 🟨,
48', 0 - 3, Utsumoto S. ⚽,
52', Tone I. 🟨,
54', Kimoto T. 🟨,
55', Romero F. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
58', Kimoto T. ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
58', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Udo S. ↑,
70', Utsumoto S. ↓, Yamazaki T. ↑,
70', Matsuoka H. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
74', Umiguchi G. ↓, Tsunoda S. ↑,
74', Okuda H. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
75', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
86', Yoshida M. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Recent performances by Reilac Shiga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oita Trinita is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Reilac Shiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Reilac Shiga has had a series of home games.

Oita Trinita is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reilac Shiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Oita Trinita - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J2 J3 League
12.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Kagoshima United - Reilac Shiga	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
11.04.26	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
25.02.26	Oita Trinita - Reilac Shiga	2:0

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