Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 5

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	17:00	Canal del Futbol


	Remo		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	4.16	3.59	1.96
	4.21	3.64	1.87
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	4.16	3.85	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.2)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
24.2%

Draw
26.4%

Fluminense
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	9.5%	81%

Remo - Fluminense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.22) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Remo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Remo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 2. Joao Lucas 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 16. Savio 14. Picco L. 12. Patrick de Paula 22. Yago Pikachu 15. Vitor Bueno 11. Alef Manga 45. Joao Pedro	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 11. Savarino J. 9. John Kennedy
Substitutes
24. Cufre B. 25. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 10. Jaderson 37. Jaja 4. Klaus 5. Leo Andrade 97. Lucas Leal 79. Marcelinho 71. Monti R. 8. Patrick 55. Ze Ricardo 28. Ze Welison	25. Alisson 19. Castillo R. 13. Guilherme Arana 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 29. Millan J. 30. Moreno S. 94. Otavio 90. Serna K. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Leo Conde	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽, Rene (A),
37', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Jaja ↑,
46', Picco L. ↓, Patrick ↑,
53', Hercules 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Canobbio A. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
70', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
70', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
70', Yago Pikachu ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
70', Alef Manga ↓, Monti R. ↑,
76', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
79', Patrick de Paula ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
79', Acosta L. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
79', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
87', Martinelli ↓, Alisson ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fluminense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Inactive)

There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	49:39	10	51
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34:50	-16	26

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Fluminense: 0.06%

Last Results with these Odds

Remo - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.16%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
08.03.26	Paysandu - Remo	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Remo - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Remo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
18.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Remo	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Remo - Amazônia IFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWT
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Palmeiras - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Fluminense - Bangu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWW

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