Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Renate		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.13	3.05	3.83
	2.1	3.06	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	2.03	3.08	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)	3.06 ↓ (3.16)	3.67 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
44.8%

Draw
30.1%

Caldiero Terme
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renate's form might have worsened.

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Renate - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nobile T. (G) 7. Anghileri M. (C) 41. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. 21. Riviera C. 11. Delcarro A. 23. Siega N. 25. Vassallo F. 27. Di Nolfo F. 37. Plescia V. 77. De Leo L.	1. Giacomel A. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 23. Baldani N. 15. Gecchele P. 11. Marras T. 26. Mondini G. 4. Gattoni T. 24. Gobetti N. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 10. Fasan N. 97. Cazzadori D.
Substitutes
22. Bartoccioni A. (G) 24. Bocalon R. 17. Bonetti A. 72. Ciarmoli L. 9. Egharevba D. 2. Eleuteri A. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 1. Ombra F. (G) 50. Pellizzari S. 91. Regonesi I.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 5. Amoh A. A. 85. Cisse O. 20. Florio M. 6. Furini E. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 14. Pelamatti A. 3. Personi L. 9. Quaggio A. 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Riviera C. 🟨,
32', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
39', Mazzolo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Mazzolo F. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
63', De Leo L. ↓, Bocalon R. ↑,
63', Siega N. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
68', Plescia V. 🟨,
69', Fasan N. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
69', Cazzadori D. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
70', Plescia V. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
71', Gecchele P. 🟨,
78', Di Nolfo F. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
82', Auriletto S. 🟨,
84', Filiciotto A. ↓, Furini E. ↑,
85', Marras T. ↓, Amoh A. A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Renate is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldiero Terme has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Renate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Renate	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Renate - Novara	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Lecco - Renate	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	FeralpiSalò - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
30.09.24	Pergolettese - Caldiero Terme	3:2 ✺
25.09.24	Caldiero Terme - Alcione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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