Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 20

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Renate		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.57	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.64	3.65	5.45
	1.65	3.64	5.45
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.6	5.28
	1.6	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)	5.21 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
57.2%

Draw
25.2%

Fiorenzuola
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

28.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renate's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Renate - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fallani M. (G) 44. Bosisio M. 13. Alcibiade R. 34. Auriletto S. 7. Anghileri M. 14. Baldassin L. 8. Esposito G. 4. Possenti M. 30. Tremolada M. 45. Paudice L. 23. Currarino M.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 17. Silvestro A. 26. Cremonesi M. 6. Bondioli A. 2. Gentile D. 32. Di Gesu E. 5. Nelli J. 7. Gonzi J. 8. Stronati R. (C) 90. Anelli N. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
21. Amadio M. 99. Bianchimano A. 24. Bocalon R. 27. Ciarmoli L. 80. Garetto M. 1. Ombra F. (G) 26. Pellegrino A. 10. Procaccio A. 11. Rolando M. 95. Sorrentino D. 77. Vimercati A.	77. D'Amico F. 34. Grisendi F. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 21. Morello M. 29. Musatti M. 11. Omoregbe B. 14. Oneto E. 24. Pirola G. 4. Potop S. 13. Seck A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Renate won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.23	Renate - Trento	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Giana Erminio - Renate	2:1 ✺
08.12.23	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Mantova - Renate	4:1 ✺
25.11.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
22.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Padova - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
08.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Alessandria - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.09.23	Fiorenzuola - Renate	0:1
01.02.22	Renate - Fiorenzuola	0:0
04.09.21	Fiorenzuola - Renate	2:2

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