Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Renate

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5.33
	1.71	3.5	5.33
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.64	3.45	4.95
	1.65	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	4.99 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
54.8%

Draw
26.8%

Renate
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Mantova - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 4. Celesia C. 20. Fedel G. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 14. Galuppini F. 45. Monachello G. 7. Mensah D.	22. Fallani M. (G) 21. Amadio M. 34. Auriletto S. 19. Mondonico D. 4. Possenti M. 80. Garetto M. 8. Esposito G. 14. Baldassin L. 95. Sorrentino D. 99. Bianchimano A. 30. Tremolada M.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 25. Castellani A. 16. Cavalli T. 9. Debenedetti A. 11. Fiori A. 90. Giacomelli S. 28. Muroni M. 22. Napoli A. (G) 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	13. Alcibiade R. 7. Anghileri M. 44. Bosisio M. 79. Bracaglia G. 27. Ciarmoli L. 23. Currarino M. 5. Gasperi M. 17. Iacovo C. 9. Maletic M. 20. Nicolini L. 1. Ombra F. (G) 26. Pellegrino A. 10. Procaccio A. 11. Rolando M. 77. Sartore F.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2.

Mantova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Renate is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Renate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mantova to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mantova won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Mantova	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mantova - Trento	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Mantova - Pergolettese	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	Virtus Verona - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
25.11.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Renate - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Triestina - Renate	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.23	Pro Sesto - Renate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.04.23	Mantova - Renate	3:1
04.12.22	Renate - Mantova	1:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Mantova - Renate	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
02.04.22	Renate - Mantova	3:1
28.11.21	Mantova - Renate	2:2
16.01.16	Renate - Mantova	1:1
06.09.15	Mantova - Renate	1:0

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