Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Fiorenzuola		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.06	2.29
	3.4	3.06	2.29
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.13	3.05	2.2
	3.25	3.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.48)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
27.9%

Draw
30.1%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union ArzignanoChiampo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Fiorenzuola - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fiorenzuola will win (votes: 4 - 40%). ArzignanoChiampo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ArzignanoChiampo: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 26. Cremonesi M. 4. Potop S. 17. Silvestro A. 19. Sussi C. 8. Stronati R. (C) 10. Di Quinzio D. 32. Di Gesu E. 20. Oddi R. 9. Alberti T. 18. Ceravolo F.	12. Boseggia E. (G) 23. Davi F. 18. Piana L. 57. Milillo A. 11. Gemignani A. 21. Centis A. 6. Lakti E. 4. Casini R. (C) 17. Barba G. 97. Parigi G. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
90. Anelli N. 77. Beretta R. 7. Gonzi J. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 66. Kenzin D. 21. Morello M. 29. Musatti M. 23. Nava R. 5. Nelli J. 11. Omoregbe B. 14. Oneto E. 13. Seck A.	3. Bernardi E. 33. Boffelli A. 8. Bordo L. 32. Campesan E. 99. Canato F. 13. Cariolato F. 19. Cazzadori D. 10. Lunghi A. 5. Molnar I. 1. Pigozzo R. (G) 16. Zanon M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Alessandria - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Giana Erminio	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Pro Patria - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Triestina - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:1 ✺
18.11.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Trento - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL

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