Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 31

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mino Favini (Meda) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Renate		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.05	Watch
	1.9	3.36	4.17
	1.84	3.39	4.04	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.8	3.18	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	4.12 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
49.7%

Draw
28.1%

Lumezzane
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Renate - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 2. De Zen R. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 3. Gardoni P. 11. Delcarro A. 14. Cali M. 25. Vassallo F. 7. Muhameti E. 80. Vesentini F. 9. Karlsson O. 16. Ekuban J.	50. Drago G. (G) 2. Deratti J. 23. Moscati M. 31. Stivanello R. 70. Mancini S. 8. Rocca M. 4. Paghera F. 19. Rolando M. 11. Ghillani A. 7. Ferro M. 20. Caccavo L.
Substitutes
92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 77. De Leo L. 8. Esposito G. 72. Mastromonaco G. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 24. Spedalieri J. 19. Ziu D.	32. Anatriello G. 12. Battagliola L. (G) 6. Colangiuli V. 17. De Marino D. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 27. Gallea F. 21. Iori M. 45. Monachello G. 41. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Stivanello R. 🟨,
38', Gardoni P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocca M. ↓, Iori M. ↑,
46', Gardoni P. ↓, Ori R. ↑,
46', Muhameti E. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
61', Karlsson O. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
69', Caccavo L. 🟨,
72', Vesentini F. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
79', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
81', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
82', Vassallo F. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
84', De Leo L. 🟨,
86', Ferro M. ↓, Gallea F. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2.

Renate is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lumezzane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Renate is considered a favorite.

We predict that Renate will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Renate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lumezzane	11	3	3	5	12:16	-4	12
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.26	Lecco - Renate	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Renate	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Renate - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLW
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.26	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Trento - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lumezzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0
16.03.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:2
02.11.24	Renate - Lumezzane	1:2
10.02.24	Renate - Lumezzane	0:1
01.10.23	Lumezzane - Renate	2:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.08.16	Renate - Lumezzane	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.16	Lumezzane - Renate	1:3

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