Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Renate		Inter U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3	2.78	Watch
	2.46	3.05	2.9
	2.46	3.06	2.83	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.88
	2.5	3.05	2.94	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.24)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
37.4%

Draw
30.5%

Inter U23
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Inter U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Renate - Inter U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 2. De Zen R. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 11. Delcarro A. 14. Cali M. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 80. Vesentini F. 9. Karlsson O. 16. Ekuban J.	91. Calligaris A. (G) 15. Stante F. 19. Prestia G. 5. Alexiou C. 10. Kamate I. 14. Bovo L. 4. Zanchetta M. 44. Berenbruch T. 25. David A. 20. La Gumina A. 34. Iddrissou J.
Substitutes
92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 8. Esposito G. 97. Fall M. 3. Gardoni P. 7. Muhameti E. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P.	11. Agbonifo R. 77. Amerighi I. 33. Cerpelletti F. 46. Cinquegrano S. 90. Lavelli M. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 30. Mosconi M. 12. Raimondi P. (G) 16. Venturini M. 21. Zouin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bonetti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Iddrissou J. 🟨,
49', Cali M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Berenbruch T. ⚽,
60', Iddrissou J. ↓, Lavelli M. ↑,
66', Vassallo F. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
66', Karlsson O. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
71', Auriletto S. 🟨,
72', La Gumina A. ↓, Agbonifo R. ↑,
72', David A. ↓, Amerighi I. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Ekuban J. ⚽,
77', Ekuban J. 🟨,
79', Ekuban J. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
79', Bonetti A. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
79', Stante F. ↓, Cinquegrano S. ↑,
80', Zanchetta M. ↓, Zouin A. ↑,
90+5', Esposito G. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.09%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Renate - Triestina	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Latina - Renate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWL
- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.26	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	2:2 ✺
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter U23 - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lecco - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Inter U23 - Renate	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.25	Inter U23 - Renate	1:1

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