Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Renate		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.18	3	3.25
	2.2	3.05	3.65
	2.25	3.09	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.06)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
42.7%

Draw
30.2%

Ospitaletto
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Renate - Ospitaletto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ospitaletto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Renate: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 2 - 50%). Ospitaletto (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Renate (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 3 - 60%). Ospitaletto (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 15. Ori R. 21. Riviera C. 32. Ghezzi A. 11. Delcarro A. 8. Esposito G. (C) 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 13. Spalluto S.	1. Raffaelli F. (G) 13. Sinn L. 6. Possenti M. 4. Nessi R. 7. Messaggi C. 26. Mondini G. 16. Gualandris M. 28. Panatti M. 43. Guarneri M. 99. Bertoli M. 9. Gobbi F.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 17. Bonetti A. 72. Mastromonaco G. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 18. Ovalle Santos A. 90. Pietropoli G. 6. Rossi G. 75. Stagi D. 25. Vassallo F. 19. Ziu D.	22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 14. Contessi A. 24. Diop S. 10. Ievoli M. 45. Mazza L. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 2. Regazzetti S. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 21. Torri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Bertoli M. ⚽,
34', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Spalluto S. (Pen),
45+3', Guarneri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Panatti M. 🟨,
61', Delcarro A. 🟨,
73', Guarneri M. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
74', Gobbi F. 🟨,
75', Ori R. 🟨,
76', Esposito G. ↓, Vassallo F. ↑,
77', Cali M. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
79', Gobbi F. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
81', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
85', Anelli N. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
85', Ghezzi A. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Gualandris M. ⚽,
89', Bertoli M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Renate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ospitaletto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Renate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Alcione - Renate	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Renate - Brescia	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWTW
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Lumezzane - Ospitaletto	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ospitaletto - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Triestina - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ospitaletto - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTTL

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