Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Referee: Zito C. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Renate		Treviso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.87
	2.32	3.05	2.9
	2.32	3.2	3.2
	2.28	3.12	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.2	3.15	2.97	Watch
	2.33	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)	3.1 (3.1)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
40.1%

Draw
29.4%

Treviso
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Renate - Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Avella M. (G) 2. De Zen R. 13. Motoc A. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 4. Vigano F. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 14. Cali M. 92. Anelli N. 9. Karlsson O. 7. Italeng J.	30. Nobile T. (G) 8. Cappelletti D. 13. Maestrelli A. 5. Bove D. 2. Brigati A. 27. Gucher R. (C) 25. Romeo F. 94. Liotti D. 10. Ciuferri F. 7. Brevi T. 9. Tommasini C.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 29. Botrini T. 10. Careccia S. 8. Dore S. 23. Gobbo L. 47. Kerrigan L. 72. Mastromonaco G. 73. Minotti G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 15. Suarez M. 33. Tempre M. 25. Vassallo F. 20. Zalazar S.	1. Bisetto R. (G) 21. Ceccacci M. 59. De Lazzari F. 29. Gerbi E. 44. Guiyong F. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 76. Lombardi A. 11. Mellino C. 78. Ndulue D. 17. Paganini L. 4. Rossi G.
Coaches
Banchieri S.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bonetti A. 🟨,
25', Bove D. 🟨,
40', Gucher R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Ciuferri F. 🟨,
56', De Zen R. ↓, Kerrigan L. ↑,
60', Cali M. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
60', Bonetti A. ↓, Vassallo F. ↑,
61', Careccia S. 🟨,
64', Vassallo F. 🟨,
66', Brevi T. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
67', Ciuferri F. ↓, Paganini L. ↑,
69', Liotti D. 🟨,
75', Liotti D. ↓, Ceccacci M. ↑,
76', Gucher R. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
83', Italeng J. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
83', Vigano F. ↓, Minotti G. ↑,
86', Tommasini C. ↓, Ndulue D. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Bove D. ⚽,
90+1', Careccia S. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 7th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Renate (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Treviso is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	8:6	2	13
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Renate - Novara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTLL
- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Treviso - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Alcione - Treviso	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWTW

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