Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.30	2.95	2.80	Watch
	2.48	3.30	2.95
	2.43	3.12	2.81	Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.85
	2.40	2.93	2.86	Watch
	2.40	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)	3.09 ↓ (3.11)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
38%

Draw
29.5%

Renate
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 31. De Santis E. 57. Milillo A. 23. Bernardi E. 2. Fosu M. J. 30. Gatti C. 16. Moretti M. 13. Cariolato F. 6. Lakti E. (C) 7. Lanzi E. 10. Romio J.	30. Avella M. (G) 2. De Zen R. 13. Motoc A. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 4. Vigano F. 11. Delcarro A. 10. Careccia S. 17. Bonetti A. 92. Anelli N. 7. Italeng J. 47. Kerrigan L.
Substitutes
17. Castegnaro L. 12. Contarato E. (G) 21. Finizio D. 26. Gambardella V. 15. Gostimirovic M. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 32. Nanni N. 27. Nenna A. 11. Penta M.	12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 29. Botrini T. 14. Cali M. 8. Dore S. 23. Gobbo L. 9. Karlsson O. 72. Mastromonaco G. 73. Minotti G. 21. Riviera C. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 15. Suarez M. 33. Tempre M. 25. Vassallo F. 20. Zalazar S.
Coaches
Di Donato D.	Gattuso G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Italeng J. ⚽, Kerrigan L. (A),
55', Romio J. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
56', Lanzi E. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Nanni N. ⚽,
64', Fosu M. J. ↓, Penta M. ↑,
65', Italeng J. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
67', De Santis E. 🟨,
72', Vigano F. 🟨,
75', Kerrigan L. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
75', Bonetti A. ↓, Vassallo F. ↑,
82', Anelli N. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
82', Vigano F. ↓, Riviera C. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Moretti M. ⚽, Penta M. (A),
87', Auriletto S. 🟨,
90+4', Lakti E. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 1.

ArzignanoChiampo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Renate is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, ArzignanoChiampo has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ArzignanoChiampo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Renate - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lumezzane - Renate	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Renate - Novara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Renate - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	0:0
29.11.25	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2
04.05.25	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
28.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:2
16.11.24	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
24.03.24	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:3
18.11.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:1

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