Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Kulbakov A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Rennes		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	4.75
	1.73	3.9	4.6
	1.75	3.8	4.9
	1.72	3.9	4.8
	1.74	3.97	4.88
	1.73	3.75	4.75
	1.79	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.94)	3.89 ↑ (3.59)	4.81 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 3

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
55.3%

Draw
24.7%

Fenerbahçe
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.8%	12.6%	19.5%

Rennes - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 87 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 59 - 67.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 17 - 19.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 58% – 77.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Rennes has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (60%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a small chance of 3rd (10%), has a good chance of round of 16 (73%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Fenerbahçe has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (34%), has a chance of 2nd (45%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 69, importance 43, match rating 56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Rennes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of home games.

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Kalimuendo A. (Muscle Injury) Omari W. (Hernia) Santamaria B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Bruma (Muscle Injury) Sangare N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Doku J. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Rennes - Auxerre	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	AEK Larnaca - Rennes	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Troyes - Rennes	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Lens - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTWL
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.09.22	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
29.08.22	Konyaspor - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Fenerbahçe - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.08.22	Fenerbahçe - Adana Demirspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

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