Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lens		Rennes

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.45	4.9	Watch
	1.6	4.45	5.45
	1.58	4.35	5.26	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.63	4.34	5.42	Watch
	1.58	4.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	4.3 ↑ (3.8)	5.19 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
59.6%

Draw
22.1%

Rennes
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.9%	7.6%	2.5%

Lens - Rennes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lens (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lens (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (70 of 78 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 96.47%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (45 of 45 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 48 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.	50. Silistrie M. (G) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 97. Jacquet J. 24. Rouault A. 70. Nordin A. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 17. Szymanski S. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
23. Abdulhamid S. 32. Antonio K. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 29. Masuaku A. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.	80. Akabou A. (G) 10. Blas L. 3. Brassier L. 35. Legendre E. 26. Merlin Q. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 36. Seidu A. 79. Ugochukwu C.
Coaches
Sage P.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Nordin A. (A),
29', Ait Boudlal A. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
32', Aguilar R. 🟨,
36', Thomasson A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Aguilar R. (A),
45', Embolo B. 🟨,
45+1', Sangare M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Aguilar R. ⚽, Thauvin F. (A),
56', Aguilar R. 🟨,
60', Baidoo S. ↓, Antonio K. ↑,
61', Edouard O. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
61', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
61', Nordin A. 🟨,
64', Szymanski S. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
64', Rouault A. ↓, Brassier L. ↑,
64', Nordin A. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
69', Jacquet J. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽, Risser R. (A),
78', Thauvin F. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
89', Sangare M. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 1.

Lens is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rennes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lens is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Kamara G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Cisse D. (Injury) Frankowski P. (Injury) Zabiri Y. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Lens will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.66% Lens: 1.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9:9	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Sochaux - Lens	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Stade Rennes
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Monaco - Rennes	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Rennes - Lorient	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Chantilly - Rennes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0
15.03.25	Lens - Rennes	1:0
21.09.24	Rennes - Lens	1:1
12.05.24	Rennes - Lens	1:1
20.08.23	Lens - Rennes	1:1
01.04.23	Rennes - Lens	0:1
27.08.22	Lens - Rennes	2:1

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