Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	VG+
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4


	Troyes		Rennes

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.73
	4.7	3.45	1.82
	4.88	3.55	1.73	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	4.85	3.44	1.76	Watch
	4.7	3.45	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.63)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
19.6%

Draw
27.5%

Rennes
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

26.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.9%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Troyes - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Rennes will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lemaitre N. (G) 2. Mendes H. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 3. Gozzi P. 7. Irie C. 8. Diop M. 5. Kante A. 10. M'Changama Y. 11. Said R. 9. de Preville N.	1. Samba B. (G) 33. Hateboer H. 55. Ostigard L. 4. Wooh C. 22. Assignon L. 17. James J. 75. Fofana S. 6. Matusiwa A. 3. Truffert A. (C) 11. Blas L. 10. Gouiri A.
Substitutes
12. Adeline M. 15. Assoumou J. 18. Balde T. 17. Ba P. I. 13. Boucher Z. (G) 16. Chavalerin X. 14. Detourbet M. 19. Tahrat M. 20. Traore I.	32. Ahamada N. 48. Ait Boudlal A. 15. Faye M. 20. Gomez C. A. 7. Gronbaek A. 30. Mandanda S. (G) 62. Meite M. 18. Nagida M. 8. Santamaria B.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Sampaoli J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Mendes H. 🟨,
27', Said R. (Pen),
32', Wooh C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Said R. ⚽, Gozzi P. (A),
58', Gozzi P. 🟨,
68', Fofana S. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
71', de Preville N. ↓, Traore I. ↑,
74', Wooh C. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
83', Blas L. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
83', James J. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
90+2', Said R. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:25 (average 1.2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
10.01.25	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Troyes - Metz	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Troyes - Martigues	4:0 ✺
06.12.24	Lorient - Troyes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWL
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
11.01.25	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Nice - Rennes	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Rennes - Angers	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Nantes - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.05.23	Rennes - Troyes	4:0
04.09.22	Troyes - Rennes	1:1
20.02.22	Rennes - Troyes	4:1
31.10.21	Troyes - Rennes	2:2
24.02.18	Rennes - Troyes	2:0
05.08.17	Troyes - Rennes	1:1
16.01.16	Troyes - Rennes	2:4

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